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Space Odyssey1

2008-01-25T02:11:23Z

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Billionaire Richard Branson and aerospace designer Burt Rutan have unveiled their model for the world's first tourist spaceship, which they plan to put on trial later this year. Branson's Virgin Galactic company aims to have the craft, SpaceShipTwo, pressed into full service for fare-paying passengers as soon as next year, for $200,000 a ticket. NEWSWEEK asked former NASA engineer and "Rocket Boys" author Homer Hickam about the final frontier for tourism--and whether those brave first passengers will likely need the return portion of their tickets. Excerpts:

NEWSWEEK: How big a deal is SpaceShipTwo?
Homer Hickam: We'll see. It could be the DC-3 of space or it might be the DC-1. [The less-than-successful DC-1 paved the way for the DC-3, which revolutionized air travel.] A hop into the lower regions of space isn't like going into earth orbit for an extended time. It should be an exciting ride with a brief, though marvelous view, but I personally would want a little more time to contemplate our planet and the stars. Still, it may be the only game in town for private space travelers since it looks like the Russians are going to get out of the space-tourist business in favor of flying NASA astronauts, who will soon lack the ability to go on an American ship. [The space-shuttle program is set to end in 2010.]
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What will it do?
It will accomplish about what the first Mercury-Redstone flights did in the 1950s and 1960s, an up and down parabolic flight about 62 miles high with some minutes of weightlessness.
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How safe is this thing?
It should be very safe. There really isn't much in the way of unproven technology about it with the exception of the composite materials used for its construction. No one knows how these materials will hold up over many flights, but computer models look good.
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Would you go on it, given the chance?
I might, except I think my publisher would be pretty unhappy. I'm under contract to write four more novels over the next five years so I don't think they'd like for me to leave the planet.
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How does it work?
Like the old Air Force X-15 of the 1960s, SpaceShipTwo will be carried aloft attached by another aircraft, known as WhiteKnight Two, then released. Its single-engine rocket ignites, and up it goes. After the rocket burns out, it keeps coasting until a special wing deploys, and down it comes waffling in the air like a badminton shuttlecock. That design is pretty neat.
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Is it a sensible concept?
Burt Rutan and his folks thought out of the box, especially with the design of the wing. They took a minimalist approach, and it works.
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What will travelers see and feel?
One good thing about SpaceShipTwo is it will only have a single trajectory, and weightlessness will be brief. That means space sickness won't have time to set in. Upset stomachs in zero-gravity are the bane of astronauts. Given the short time of the flight, the decision every passenger is going to have to make is whether to enjoy flying around or looking out the window. The view should be marvelous as long as there aren't too many clouds. Me? I would look out the window. I can get weightless by going scuba diving.
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Virgin Galactic hopes to send up its first passengers next year. Is that realistic?
Probably not. Everything that has to do with spaceflight takes longer than predicted. It's just the nature of the beast. But, on the other hand, this is private enterprise rather than the government doing it. I could be pleasantly surprised.
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How much research, testing and trials is required for this kind of thing?
A lot if you're smart, but the day finally comes when you have to go out and fly. Burt Rutan knows the only way to really learn is to light that candle--and he'll do it, too.
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So who is Burt Rutan? Should I trust him?
Burt Rutan is the rock star of space. Yes, you can absolutely trust him. He still knows how to use a slide rule, for one thing.
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The space shuttle was developed by NASA's finest, but they still lost two of them. Does the private sector really have the know-how and the resources for a venture like this?
The private sector, run by innovative entrepreneurs, definitely has the know-how for a ballistic lob like this, given enough financing. I should point out, however, that carrying passengers to Earth orbit--as the shuttle does--is many magnitudes harder than what SpaceShipTwo is attempting. I look forward to the day when private enterprise takes on the orbital challenge. That's when I think big money is going to be made in terms of space tourism.

Hong Kong Continues China-Investment Vigil1

2008-01-21T09:53:15Z

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Hong Kong's investors could use the Chinese government's help, but it isn't clear when that help may come.
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Specifically, what traders in Hong Kong need is for Beijing to finally open the doors for mainland citizens to trade Hong Kong stocks.
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Until that happens, one significant leg of support for last year's gains in Hong Kong shares is going to be increasingly wobbly. If that support is removed altogether, Hong Kong stocks could be in for a bigger bruising than they've already had.
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Traders in Hong Kong have been waiting for nearly five months for Beijing to move forward with a plan announced in August that would let citizens in the mainland invest in stocks in Hong Kong.
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The plan was seen as a way of taking pressure off China's emerging stock-market bubble: If Chinese investors have more destinations in which to invest their savings, less money will chase after each share in Shanghai.
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Expectations that piles of Chinese money would come into Hong Kong stocks had the Hang Seng Index surging in the months following the first announcement.
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At its worst, the buying was driven by "greater fool" sentiment: That stock-hungry and hyped-up Chinese investors would pay up for Hong Kong stocks that were, relative to their Chinese counterparts, downright cheap.
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The Hang Seng rose 55% from its August low to a late October high, following that news and the Federal Reserve's decision to slash interest rates in the U.S.
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Shares of Chinese stocks listed in Hong Kong, reflected in the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, did even better, gaining about 85% over that period.
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Based on the prospect of coming inflows, investors in Hong Kong began to demonstrate a kind of immunity to global turmoil. That immunity had previously only been apparent in mainland China, and stocks in China and Hong Kong surged while other markets wobbled.
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But the money hasn't come. Instead, traders have heard mixed messages from government officials about when the plan may be launched, and what is holding it back.
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So these traders have gone back to worrying about the other factors that affect stock prices -- most recently the prospects for a U.S. recession and its impact on local economies.
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Both the Hang Seng and the enterprises index have returned to levels last seen in late August, though they remain well above their lowest point of the summer. The Hang Seng is about 21% above its mid-August lows, and the enterprises index stands about 26% higher than its August low.
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There is reason to think the plan will eventually be approved. Last week the head of the Hong Kong Monetary Authority, Joseph Yam, was reported as saying the plan is "an important project and we hope to start it soon."
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That has all been said before, though, and it isn't clear if Mr. Yam was just being hopeful or was actually reflecting the party line. Other officials, most notably Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao, have raised concerns about the plan in the past. Mr. Wen said the government had to first consider the potential negative effects the plan could have on both mainland and Hong Kong markets.
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With no clear sign of Chinese investors being approved to make their way into Hong Kong, it is easy to imagine either index revisiting August's lows.
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Several other Asian markets, from Singapore to Korea to Australia, are now very near those lows. Those markets didn't have the support of the prospect of tens of billions of dollars of Chinese money to keep them afloat.
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There is another risk: Recent selling in global markets, and the growing doom-and-gloom consensus for stocks, might be enough to spook even the most exuberant investor. What if Chinese players decide they don't want to buy Hong Kong stocks just yet?
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That isn't to say it is time to rush out and short-sell Hong Kong stocks, a tactic that involves the sale of borrowed shares in the hope of buying them back at a lower price later on.
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Even the biggest bear has to admit two notable risks to a short position in Hong Kong: That Beijing will approve the "through-train" when it is least expected and that money will indeed come pouring into Hong Kong; or that the Fed's rate-cut campaign (which, given the Hong Kong dollar peg to the U.S. dollar, has to be followed) will fuel a recovery in Hong Kong stocks.
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Genes Increase Prostate Cancer Risk1

2008-01-17T02:22:19Z

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Prostate cancer may not be at the top of your list of topics for dinner conversation with Dad. But you might reconsider: About 10% of prostate cancer cases are linked with family history, and evidence for the disease's genetic roots is growing. Researchers have recently identified a series of gene markers that, when present with family history of the disease, increase a patient's risk of prostate cancer more than nine times. Those markers, say researchers, can be detected in a simple saliva or blood sample — good news for a condition whose prognosis is improved by early detection.
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In a study published online today by the New England Journal of Medicine (NEJM), a team of American and Swedish researchers reported the results of a DNA analysis of over 4,700 Swedish men. The study found that patients whose genes contained four of the five common variants, found to be associated with prostate cancer in 2006 and 2007, had a 400% to 500% increased risk of developing the disease. That risk shot up to over 900% in patients who had the genetic variants and a family history, accounting for nearly half of the prostate cancer cases in the study. "We've never seen this before," says Dr. Jianfeng Xu of Wake Forest University School of Medicine and one of the authors of the study conducted jointly with researchers at Sweden's Karolinksa Institute and Johns Hopkins Brady Urological Institute, among others. Because the variants are common in the general population and their collective association with cancer is so strong, Xu says his findings could help doctors move quickly into the next phase of prostate cancer research: "How to predict individual risk for prostate cancer and catch it early."
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Xu hasn't wasted any time taking his own advice. He and a colleague at Wake Forest have already spun a private business around the study's results — Proactive Genomics, which, like many similar companies that have sprung up recently, will offer a personal genetic test. This one, however, says Xu, will be the world's first genetic screen for a specific disease. To assess cancer risk, patients and doctors currently rely on physical symptoms, age, race, family history and PSA screens — tests that measure blood levels of prostate-specific antigens, which are produced in high amounts by an unhealthy prostate. Xu says his new genetic test — which would require patients to send in blood or saliva samples to be screened for the variants identified in the study — would complement established methods. "We're devoted to improving the situation," says Xu, estimating that his test would cost a few hundred dollars, and could eventually be included in standard health care. "We want to make this very affordable."
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While Xu's test may help identify at-risk patients more accurately and earlier, what it won't do is tell patients — or doctors — who's at risk for developing aggressive, life-threatening disease. In fact most prostate cancer cases in the United States never become lethal: 99% of men diagnosed with prostate cancer — the vast majority of whom are over 65 — survive at least five years, according to the American Cancer Society, and many die with the disease, not because of it. Still, prostate cancer does kill some 30,000 men a year in U.S. Learning more about genetic predisposition, particularly through a test that does not require cancer to be present to determine risk (PSA screening does), may help lead to the way to identify gene markers for the lethal variant of the disease. "It's a step in the right direction," says Dr. William Isaacs, a professor of urology and oncology at the Brady Urological Institute at Johns Hopkins School of Medicine and a co-author of the study. "Who's at risk of a more aggressive disease? That's where we'd like to go."
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That research is also already underway. In a study published in the journal Lancet in October, Dr. Henrik Gronberg, another co-author of the NEJM study from the Karolinksa Institute, found an association between family history and aggressiveness in certain kinds of cancer. He found that a woman whose mother died from breast cancer, for instance, was also more likely than other women to develop an aggressive form of the disease. Gronberg says the goal is to establish a specific link between genetic markers, risk, and a cancer's potential invasiveness. "We're reading about genetic factors for these common human diseases almost on a weekly basis now," says Isaacs. "The bad news is that some people may be at higher risk, but the good news is you may be able to do something about it."

Chewing Gum Sweetener Can Cause Dangerous Weight Loss1

2008-01-12T01:49:20Z

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Many sugar-free chewing gums contain a sweetener called sorbitol. Sorbitol is a laxative which is poorly absorbed by the small intestine. An article in this week's British Medical Journal (BMJ) warns of the dangers of excess sorbitol intake.
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The warning comes after doctors came across two patients who had chronic diarrhea, abdominal pain and dangerously excessive weight loss. After lengthy investigations which could not identify why the patients were losing so much weight and had chronic diarrhea and pains, a detailed analysis of eating habits put the problem down to eating too much chewing gum with sorbitol.
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One of the patients, a 21-year-old woman, had been eating the equivalent of 18-20g of sorbitol each day. The average stick of gum has about 1.25g sorbitol - so, she was chewing through 15-18 sticks of gum each day. The other patient, a 46-year-old man, was chewing about 20 sticks of sorbitol-containing gum plus approximately 200g of sweets (candy) each day - his total sorbitol daily intake was about 30g, the authors wrote.
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As soon as sorbitol intake was stopped, both patients started having normal bowel movements (diarrhea subsided) and normal weight gain was achieved.
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The authors say consumers are generally unaware of the possible side-effects of sorbitol, even though details are included in the small print of foods containing it. When consumers have gastronomical problems they are unaware that they may be caused by the laxative effects of sorbitol.
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The authors conclude that sorbitol consumption may not only cause chronic diarrhea and functional bowel complaints, but also significant unplanned weight loss of about 20% of body weight. Any investigation of unexplained weight loss should include a detailed dietary history with regard to sorbitol-containing foods.
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What is Sorbitol?
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Also known as glucitol, sorbitol is a sugar alcohol. The body metabolizes it slowly. It is obtained by reduction of glucose changing the ether group to an addition hydroxyl group - hence the name sugar alcohol.
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Sorbitol can be found in cough syrups, sugar free mints, chewing gum, diet foods, diet drinks and ice creams. Sorbitol occurs naturally in some stone fruits and berries from trees of the Sorbus genus.
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Sorbitol provides dietary energy of 2.6 kilocalories (11 kilojoules) per gram, compared to sugar which provides about 4 kilocalories (17 kilojoules). Sorbitol retains 60% of the sweetness.
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As a food additive Sorbitol has an E-number E420 and is categorized as a sweetener, emulsifier and humectant.
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Sorbitol is also used as a non-stimulant laxative. It is either an oral suspension or a suppository. It draws water into the large intestine, stimulating bowel movements.
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Brits To Pay Less For iTunes1

2008-01-10T02:17:36Z

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Apple on Wednesday said it will lower its music prices on its U.K. iTunes Store to match standardized pricing on iTunes in the rest of the European Union.
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The move is partially in response to a European Union inquiry based on a pricing complaint from a British consumer group.
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Apple said it charged more for U.K. citizens because Apple pays more to some British recording labels for U.K. distribution. Those same labels charge less to distribute to other Europeans, Apple said.
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"This is an important step towards a pan-European marketplace for music," Steve Jobs, Apple's CEO, said in the announcement. "We hope every major record label will take a pan-European view of pricing."
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In addition, Apple said it will consider halting license agreements with British recording labels that won't lower their wholesale prices in the United Kingdom to match the rest of the European market.
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"Apple will reconsider its continuing relationship in the U.K. with any record label that does not lower its wholesale prices in the U.K. to the pan-European level within six months," the company said in a news announcement.
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The company said prices would drop to match those in Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Germany, Finland, France, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Sweden, Switzerland, and Spain.
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It's unclear whether the change will also allow European residents to buy music on iTunes from other countries. Right now, if a French citizen wants to download music while visiting Germany, he or she could not do it without a German-issued credit card and address.

Short Passes Leadfg

2008-01-08T06:15:13Z

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TAMPA, Fla. — The Tampa Bay Buccaneers claimed to know the answers even before Eli Manning and the Giants’ offense provided the test Sunday in their National Football Conference wild-card playoff game.
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Instead, Tampa Bay looked frustrated as Manning meticulously picked apart the Buccaneers’ defense during a 24-14 victory, a lesson in game management.
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The Bucs’ defense, ranked No. 2 in the N.F.L. and No. 1 against the pass, did not intercept a pass or cause a fumble, turnovers Tampa Bay surely figured it could count on entering the game. A defense that claimed to be ready to slug it out against running back Brandon Jacobs and to bewilder Manning into game-breaking errors appeared worn down and unable to make basic adjustments.
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“We knew what they were going to do,” Buccaneers strong safety Jermaine Phillips said. “They did what we wanted them to do. We thought they were going to go downfield more, and they never did. They were scared of our pass rush, I guess. But they were really patient.”
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Manning’s longest completion was for 21 yards, to the rookie receiver Steve Smith, who accounted for about half the yardage after the catch. Manning was 20 of 27 for 185 yards, and his 9.2 yards per completion might have been seen as airtight coverage on the part of Tampa Bay’s pass defenders had the Giants lost.
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But Manning was so accurate that only two of his misfires were credited to the Buccaneers as passes broken up (compared with seven for the Giants).
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“It was all dinky-dunk routes,” defensive tackle Chris Hovan said. “If we had a little more pressure, get Eli patting the ball a little bit back there, we might have got a big play or turnover and given our offense a short field to work with.”
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Manning was sacked once. His pump-fakes and quick, improvised throws to secondary receivers seemed part of the Giants’ strategy, although Manning said the Buccaneers caused him to recock his arm numerous times.
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“They just did a good job of guys flashing in lanes,” Manning said. “They do a great job getting turnovers. My thought process was to play really safe, don’t force anything.”
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The Buccaneers’ defense guessed wrong several times during a 15-play, 92-yard drive that started late in the third quarter and that gave the Giants a 24-7 lead.
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As they had much of the game, the Buccaneers seemed inches from deflecting Manning’s passes, only to see him complete 6 of 7 attempts on the drive, which took 8
minutes 37 seconds off the clock.
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“We were unable to make plays like we’re used to making them,” cornerback Phillip Buchanon said.
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“Eli, he really played kind of poor,” Buchanon added. “He was not even trying to make any longer throws or do anything drastic. But the game plan they had for him was a good one. They played it safe. It was all real controlled, safe pass patterns.
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“He did a good job. But we missed tackles on crucial plays and couldn’t get many pass breakups.”
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Giants wide receivers Amani Toomer and Plaxico Burress often used their bodies as shields to aid Manning and keep the smaller Buccaneers at bay. Toomer caught seven passes for 74 yards and Burress had four receptions for 38 yards.
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In all, seven Giants caught passes as Manning compiled a 117.1 rating, the second highest against the Buccaneers this season.
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“Their passing game is tough to defend,” Bucs cornerback Ronde Barber said. “You had to position yourself against Plaxico and Amani and we had a hard time doing it. Those guys are good. I wish them well.”
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Barber said last week that Manning could be easily forced into bad plays, perhaps wanting to dare Manning into bravado.
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On Sunday, Manning did not take the bait and responded with a near flawless performance.
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“We gave him some good looks, some easy reads, and he made a whole bunch of quick throws that were hard to defend,” Barber said.

Phillips added: “We definitely left some plays out there. We tried to adjust, we tried to get them out of their game plan, but it was just too late.”

For Manning and the Giants, the answers came in a timely manner.

Short Passes Lead to Long Day for Bucs’ Defense1

2008-01-07T06:18:48Z

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Politics slows Congress in 2007

2008-01-02T14:00:24Z

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Politics got in the way of a lot of legislation this year in Congress, including a proposal to boost funding for a children's health insurance program that covers about 68,000 youngsters in Alabama.
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The Democratic proposal would have expanded the program beyond low-income children to include adults, said Sen. Richard Shelby, R-Tuscaloosa.
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"If it had strictly been for children, the Democrats would have gotten a deal," he said. "We know what they want -- they want national health insurance. I was not for that."
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But Rep. Artur Davis, D-Birmingham, countered that Democrats compromised by cutting the price tag of the children's health bill from a proposed $100 billion over five years to $35 billion, but the president and congressional Republicans refused to budge.
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"The president steadfastly refused to budge, and frankly Republicans in Congress refused to budge," he said. "Democrats moved $65 billion without the president moving an inch."
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Ultimately, Congress passed legislation that essentially provided the same federal money as last year -- about $74 million for Alabama.
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Much of what happened in Congress this year, especially for Republicans, was the blocking rather than passing of proposals. Bills on immigration reform, stem-cell research and setting timetables for troop withdrawals in Iraq failed.
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"I think what we did was stop a lot of bad stuff from happening," said Rep. Terry Everett, R-Rehobeth.
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Democrats forced some 40 votes on measures that sought to impose a timetable for troop withdrawal or other restrictions on the war in Iraq. But only one passed both the House and Senate, and it was promptly vetoed by the president.
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Democrats played politics with many bills that caused legislation to fall months behind schedule, including the spending bills for much of the federal government, said Rep. Mike Rogers, R-Saks. Republicans lost control of Congress in the 2006 elections because they weren't flexible enough to pass legislation, he said.
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"That's our job -- to get things done," Rogers said. "We haven't got a farm bill passed yet. ... I'm just frustrated."
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The Senate's farm bill passed in mid-December doesn't limit federal subsidies to high-income farmers while the House version cuts off pay ments to millionaires. A joint House- Senate committee will need to reconcile these differences before the bill can be signed into law.
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But the bill is months behind schedule, and the American public isn't happy with the slow pace on Capitol Hill. Congressional approval ratings have hovered between 19 percent and 32 percent over the past two months, according to a dozen polls.
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Congress had some successes this year, increasing the minimum wage, reforming congressional ethics and overhauling the nation's energy policy to boost mileage requirements on cars. The energy legislation also boosts federal loan guarantees for nuclear power plants, which could aid a proposal to build new facilities in northern Alabama.
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